The reason Covid infectivity tally fluctuates upwards and downwards, the experts provide a complete pictures

By Avinash PrabhakaNew Delhi, Aug 17 : Amid the current fear of monkeypox Covid cases are experiencing an increase and decrease every day in the country.

However, experts believe this isnt the reality of the current Covid situation in India.

In the past 24 hours, India has logged 9,062 new cases of Covid-19.This is which is a significant decrease from the infections reported earlier in the day, according to the Union Health Ministry report on Wednesday.

The number of deaths has have raised the death toll across the country up to 5,27,098.In the past, there were reports of 15,040 newly diagnosed Covid illnesses with 29 deaths.

In the past few days the national Covid totals have been on a steady increase and a decrease "The virus is changing and when the virus transforms it could not be the exact strain that caused the apocalypse.There could be another strain in circulation.

Genomic sequencing is required regularly so that we can determine which strain is in circulation.We need to monitor the data derived from sequencing" Dr Sunila Garg, member of the Lancet Commission and Covid-19 Task Force she told IANS.

She explained to IANS that in that regard the vaccine may be developed according to the latest strain that is circulating, as when we have been vaccinated, and the virus evolved in a different way, the vaccine might not be enough to protect us against the strain that is new.If we do not have the vaccine to fight the circulating vaccines, we arent completely protected "As as per the latest data of genome sequencing, which was released on August 1st, of the total sequenced data, about 40 percent were BA.2 19 percent BA.2.1.2 30 per cent BA.2.75.All three strains can be transmitted.However, in order to get the real picture of the current state of Covid infection One day of data of increase and decrease does not suffice.

At a minimum, a data of seven days will give the real image of Covid.However due to the fact of the low amount of tests that are due to the 15th of August and other holiday dates, the number of tests appears to be decreasing," Dr Garg told IANS regarding the issue of recent fluctuations of the Covid total.

India saw a dramatic rise to 20,551 new Covid infections on the 5th of August.The next day, the number dropped to 19,406 cases, and then to 18,738 on a different day.India has 14,917 Covid cases on August 15.The next day, on August 16 there was a slight increase to 15,040 cases.The number of cases fell sharply to 9,062 cases on the 17th of August "Since tests for antigen are being performed at home and with less people choosing to undergo testing, reported cases numbers are an underestimation.

Trends in hospitalisation in each region will have to be closely monitored.The structure of Covid-19s spread has been unpredictable that is to say, that it is not uniform in all regions" Dr Rajeev Jayadevan, Co-Chairman, National Covid 19 task force IMA in a statement, stating that small fluctuations in day to day caused by logistical changes will be eliminated when we employ an average of 7 days.avr/bg .